Two Quarterbacks Out In New York, Sixty-Eight Points In Jacksonville

San Francisco's out list runs five deep and gets all the way down to the third quarterback, Tennessee's contains one cornerback, and the model wants me laying twelve and a half regardless. It prints 12.7 to the market's 12.5 — two-tenths of a point, the narrowest gap I've had all year, which is saying something. Levi's reads four on the wind, so the number stands on its own two feet. Fifty and a half percent, and the smallest stake I write this week.

Twenty on the wind in Philadelphia on a Sunday night in December, and Las Vegas gets off the plane without Geno Smith and without Kolton Miller to protect whoever inherits the job. Philadelphia is again short Lane Johnson and Jalen Carter. The book has clearly read the forecast — a 37.5 in this matchup is not an accident — but it stopped reading a page early, and I've got 35.6. Fifty-two point nine percent, and more of my money than anything else on the card.

Forty-six and a half between two teams down to their spare parts. Washington is again without Jayden Daniels, which takes the legs out of that offense for the second time in three weeks, and the Giants counter with a six-name list of their own topped by Kayvon Thibodeaux. Thirteen in East Rutherford on a Monday night in December. My total is 45.2 at 52.4 percent, and that market number was set for two healthy rosters that are not showing up.

The Jets' quarterback room is on the injury report in its entirety — Justin Fields out, Tyrod Taylor out — and Mason Taylor is gone from the tight end spot besides. Jacksonville's page is empty. Eleven miles an hour, a market of 40.5, my number at 39.9. Six-tenths and 51.6 percent is the least I'll accept before I write anything down, and I'd accept less than that to bet against a team throwing its third-stringer into a moving wind.